So far the Big Ten is 0-3 in bowl games and makes a run today to even out their record. The SEC on the other-hand is 3-1. Today we have 2 head-to-head match-ups between the two conferences, am I optimistic? No.
Outback Bowl – Penn State vs. Tennessee – I think this will get out of hand early and am thinking the score will be 38-17 Tennessee.
Capital One Bowl – Arkansas vs. Wisconsin – I think that this might be a close one, Wisconsin is better than people think and Arkansas might be a bit over confident. Close win by Arkansas 17-14.
Rose Bowl – USC vs. Michigan – This is interesting, it will be a true test for how Ohio State will do against Florida. I will look closely at the Michigan Offense and how well they do against the defensive speed of USC. If Michigan does not run well it will be close, but if Hart gets his 100 yards it will be an easy win. Michigan 28-10.
I think that if the Big Ten looses all games today, the game against Florida is a toss-up. It will come down to our Defense getting turn-overs, and our Offense not fumbling or throwing picks.
I guess after yesterday's defeat at the hands of Florida, the basketball team appears to have a long way to go. I just hope they learn from it so that come March they are ready. I just hope our football team beats them by more than the 26 points they beat our basketball team by.
OK. I am sure to get more hits of people Googling cheerleaders but in light of the OSU / Michigan game this week I thought it appropriate to recommend this link. Or if you want, you can go to the real OSU Cheerleading Site. On to more serious stuff…
OSU Offense vs. Michigan Defense
I had concerns during the Illinois Game a few weeks ago. They blitzed every down and that gave our guys problems. Smith had 1 to 2 seconds to find a receiver and it seemed like they were all running 4 to 5 second routes. Also, it seemed like Illinois knew when we were going to run and we had play after play going negative when we ran the ball.
I think we pass first, run second. If the receivers are not open, give Smith 4 seconds then he should bolt.
If the Michigan D has to stay home to keep Smith at bay, then we should be able to open up the pass. If they spy Smith, we should be able to run wide or off-tackle, or kill 'em with a screen or two. If they break down to a more normal scheme, this will then allow Pitt & Beanie to get some yards up the middle.
Slam Dunks: Smith running & throwing. As long as he does not get an early interception via tipped ball, we will roll.
Concerns: Fumbling. Since we have not been able to hold on to the ball lately I wonder if the cold will effect our ability to hold on to the ball. If this happens OUCH!
OSU Defense vs. Michigan Offense
Our D has done a great job this year, but they are vulnerable. I have seen teams really move on them at times, then other times, offenses play to avoid turnovers. I see the game revolving around Mike Hart. If he runs over 100, we lose the game, unless we get +2 turnovers. The reason for this is because our DBs will move up leaving us open to the big play over the middle.
Slam Dunks: Heine tries too hard, he will throw a pick or two. Let's hope he does relax by having Hart run all day long…
Concerns: The Big Play & 3rd Down. If Michigan strings 2 or three of these together in a drive, I just hope it's not the last drive of the game.
I like our punting and our kicking, but it will be all kickers first OSU Michigan game. My guess is we will miff one, I am not sure why, but given the inconsistency of late, I think we will loose either a bad punt, drop one, or miss a field goal or extra point.
Still 4 days away, I think it will come down to turnovers. We have a tendency to fumble, they have a slight tendency to throw a pick. I think we will take advantage of it, they will not. Also, Michigan is more prone to penalties than we are, I see both these going our way.
Well, here it is just 6 days away and I am already thinking about the national championship. I should not do that, given Michigan’s Defense and I am still nervous about our O-Line. But with the latest BCS polls out, I would prefer to play USC over Florida. I really don’t want to play Notre Dame (Can you say BORING!) I mean didn’t we beat them last year? The last thing I want to hear is about Charlie Weiss and Brady Quinn again…
Rutgers, while I think it’s great to see them do well, I would hate to play them and have the game be a blow-out and boring. I just don’t get how the computers have them above OSU in this week’s poll. I guess, if we win out, things will take care of themselves.
So assuming Ohio State wins next week, from the current top 10 in the BCS, who do I think we’ll play. On a scale from 1-10, with a 10 being a lock, and a 1 being no chance.
#2 Michigan: I would hate this rematch, “The Game” should be played once, and if they win what does it show, we are 1-1. Chances of playing -> 3.
#3 USC: Still has to play California, Notre Dame and UCLA. I would like this match-up, USC is a good program and if they win the last 3 games they would have a very strong schedule. Chances of playing -> 5.
#4 Florida: Still has to play W. Carolina, Florida St. and the SEC Championship (Arkansas). I would not mind this game, but I have not thought too much about it since Florida has had so many close calls. Chances of playing -> 6.
#5 Notre Dame: Still has to play Army and at USC. As I said, I would hate this game, Weiss, Quinn, yada, yada, blah, yuck. But because of their schedule. Chances of playing -> 6.
#6 Rutgers: Still has to play Syracuse and at West Virginia. I would not like the match-up, but if USC looses, to California and beats Notre Dame. Then it’s between Arkansas and Rutgers, I guess I would rather see them play Rutgers. Chances of playing -> 4.
#7 Arkansas: I would not mind this match-up either, but Arkansas still has to play Mississippi State, and LSU and Florida in the SEC Championship game. But if they win the SEC, they will jump Notre Dame and be on par with USC since USC whipped them 50-14 in September they would still be below USC. Chances of playing -> 5.
#8 West Virginia: They lost to Louisville and are in the Big East. Boring… Chances of playing -> 2.
#9 Wisconsin: This might be the most interesting no-respect match-up left. Their only loss came at the hands of Michigan. And while they did not play anyone non-conference if there’s a Big East team with 1 loss, and a Big 10 Team with 1 loss, I take Wisconsin, buy seeing as how Michigan would be available as well and they beat Wisconsin. Chances of playing -> 1 (no chance).
#10 Louisville: They lost to Rutgers and are in the Big East. Boring… Chances of playing -> 2.
Here’s my preference for playing:
Here’s my projection of whom we will play:
Florida – If SEC Champion
Notre Dame – If beats USC and we win big.
USC – If beats Cal and Notre Dame
Arkansas – If beats LSU and Florida
Rutgers – If everyone else looses and OSU blows Michigan out.
Michigan – If they loose a close one.
West Virginia – If OSU blows Michigan out, they win out, and everyone beats everyone else.
Ohio State Won again vs. Michigan… I hear that the Michigan fans are calling him LLLLydd car for the (4) Losses against Tressel. The other good news is that this is the first big win I have had with having people over, and watching the game on my Projection Screen downstairs. So I guess there is no jynx there.
We are going to move again this spring, but keep going back and forth between a farm house and a house in Grandview.
Geek Note: I have started working with Linux now as a hobby. The distribution I am working with is called Ubuntu. So far so good with a copy of VMWare. I have not gotten CVS installed yet but that's my next to do.